Moody’s, S&P ratings show strong economic growth prospects – MoF
Two credit rating agencies, Moody’s Investor Services (Moody’s) and Standard and Poor (S & P), have affirmed Ghana’s Credit Rating at B3 and B- respectively.
The rating agencies also maintained Ghana’s economic outlook as stable, indicative of a strong growth prospect.
In making their decision, the credit rating agencies considered Ghana’s improving growth prospects, resilient external sector performance, and continued access to the capital markets [domestic and international] as essential factors in maintaining the rating and the outlook.
Notably, the two rating agencies recognised the efforts of the government to “build back better” through the Ghana Covid-19 Alleviation and Revitalisation of Enterprises Support (Ghana CARES) programme.
Furthermore, both credit rating agencies acknowledged that Ghana’s economy is recovering from the effects of the pandemic faster than its peers.
It, therefore, recommended that the government focuses more on growth and the implementation of the Ghana CARES programme.
S & P, in particular, maintained Ghana’s rating on the back of the growing economic prospects and the relatively transparent and responsive political institutions. The stable outlook balances risks from fiscal and external financing pressures against the country’s medium-term economic growth prospects.
However, both credit rating agencies raised some concerns about Ghana’s debt affordability and levels.
On the concern raised by the country’s debt affordability levels, the Finance Ministry has noted that the government, was committed to debt sustainability and fiscal consolidation.
“As such, between 2019 and 2021, the government has undertaken various liability management measures to proactively reduce the external debt stock and the interest expense burden. As a result, the government bought back and retired over US$900m worth of Eurobonds, which has reduced the external debt stock significantly,” the ministry said.
On the domestic front, the ministry stated that the government in this year alone has used an amount of GH₵4.84 billion for domestic liability management, which involves the buy-back of 3-year and 5-year bonds.
“This has reduced the refinancing and rollover risks and interest cost inherent in the public debt portfolio. Our strategy has also positively impacted the interest rates on the primary and secondary securities markets,” the ministry said.
Accordingly, the ministry of finance has assured the public that the government was doing its possible best to vaccinate the majority of adult Ghanaians in order to achieve herd immunity, a need that has become even more imperative with the seeming third wave upon us.
To this end, Ghana is in constant talks with the African Vaccination Acquisition Trust (AVAT) for the supply of 17 million Johnson and Johnson doses.
Ghana is among the 27 African countries that have made the initial deposit and completed the legal requirements, readiness checklist and emergency use authorization required. The first batch of the vaccine is expected this month under the programme.
The ministry reiterated the government’s commitment to saving the lives and livelihoods of Ghanaians amid the Covid-19 pandemic.
As such, the government has implemented various life-saving initiatives and interventions in 2020/21 to protect the general population against the pandemic’s adverse social and economic effects.
These interventions led to significant unbudgeted expenditures and elevated debt levels. However, Ghana’s economic fundamentals has remained strong despite these interventions, and recovery prospects are high.
This is reflected in the positive narrative by both rating agencies and other organisations, such as the IMF, on how well Ghana has managed the economy under the pandemic.
In addition, Ghana’s medium-term plan is underpinned by a robust strategy to safeguard growth beyond 5% over the medium term, return to the fiscal path of under a 5% of GDP fiscal deficit and attain a positive primary balance by 2024.
“We will sustain our progress and accelerate this through the GH₵100 billion Ghana CARES transformation programme within the general policy framework of Ghana Beyond Aid and certainly beyond the pandemic.,” the ministry emphasised.